Complete guide：Will South Korea's Q3 2026 real GDP grow at least 0.5%?

Event Details

The Bank of Korea releases its Q3 advance GDP estimate at 07:00 Beijing on October 27; semiconductors and recovering domestic demand are key supports. Opening probability is 64%: the BOK highlights a semiconductor upturn and domestic-demand recovery, with Q1 growth at 3.8% year on year; rate hikes and external risk cap confidence. Use the first BOK seasonally adjusted Q3 2026 real-GDP quarter-on-quarter rate: 0.5% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude annual, nominal and revised figures.