Ohio Senate special election | latest prediction

Ohio Senate special election | latest prediction

Event Details

Marist’s October likely-voter poll showed Brown at 48% and Husted at 44%, with a 4.5-point margin of error. Ohio polls close at 08:30 Beijing time on November 4; certified returns follow later. Current probability 57%. Yes if Ohio certifies Sherrod Brown as the winner of the November 3 Senate special election; No if another candidate wins. Unofficial returns do not count.

Information source

Ohio special election writ, voting calendar, and Marist October poll

Outcomes

  • Yes 57%
  • No 43%

Resolution Rules

Yes if Ohio certifies Sherrod Brown as the winner of the November 3 Senate special election; No if another candidate wins. Unofficial returns do not count.

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