Full analysis：Will euro-area Q3 2026 GDP grow at least 0.2%?
Event Details
Eurostat releases its Q3 preliminary flash GDP estimate at 18:00 Beijing on October 30, using seasonally adjusted euro-area quarter-on-quarter growth. Opening probability is 69%: Q2 ended at 0.6% and consumption still expanded, giving the 0.2% line a cushion; weak investment and high inflation limit confidence. Use Eurostat's first Q3 2026 preliminary flash seasonally adjusted euro-area GDP quarter-on-quarter rate: 0.2% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude EU, annual and revised figures.
Information source
Euro indicators release calendar and euro-area Q2 GDP estimate
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%
Resolution Rules
Use Eurostat's first Q3 2026 preliminary flash seasonally adjusted euro-area GDP quarter-on-quarter rate: 0.2% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude EU, annual and revised figures.