Complete guide：Will Tokyo's October 2026 core inflation reach 2.0%?

Event Details

Japan's Statistics Bureau releases preliminary October Tokyo CPI at 07:30 Beijing on October 30; the market uses the index excluding fresh food. Opening probability is 48%: national August core CPI was 1.7%, below the line, while recent Tokyo, food and service-price momentum leaves a near-even chance of returning to 2%. Use the first preliminary October 2026 Tokyo all-items-less-fresh-food annual rate: 2.0% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude headline, ex-energy, national and revised data.