Complete guide:Will US September core PCE inflation be at least 3.0%?

Complete guide:Will US September core PCE inflation be at least 3.0%?

Event Details

BEA releases September data at 20:30 Beijing on October 29; only the first core PCE year-over-year reading counts. Opening 62%: three straight months at the 3.0% line favor persistence slightly, while monthly noise leaves a meaningful chance of slipping below. Yes if the first September BEA report shows core PCE at 3.0% or higher year over year; No if lower. Use the initial one-decimal value and exclude revisions.

Information source

Personal Income and Outlays release schedule

Final Result

Yes

Outcomes

  • Yes 62%
  • No 38%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the first September BEA report shows core PCE at 3.0% or higher year over year; No if lower. Use the initial one-decimal value and exclude revisions.

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