Spain October inflation at the 5% threshold — latest prediction

Spain October inflation at the 5% threshold — latest prediction

Event Details

Annual headline CPI was 4.9% in September, only 0.1 percentage point below the line. Spain’s statistics agency schedules the October flash estimate for October 30. Current probability 50%. Yes if INE’s first October 2026 nationwide headline CPI annual rate is at least 5.0%; No if lower. Ignore revisions.

Information source

Spain September 2026 flash CPI and October release calendar

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%

Resolution Rules

Yes if INE’s first October 2026 nationwide headline CPI annual rate is at least 5.0%; No if lower. Ignore revisions.

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