Germany Q3 GDP growth threshold — complete guide
Event Details
The Q2 first estimate was +0.2% quarter on quarter and was later revised to +0.3%; only the Q3 first release counts. Destatis schedules the first Q3 estimate for October 30 at 17:00 Beijing time. Current probability 58%. Yes if the first Q3 real GDP estimate, adjusted for prices, seasons and calendar, rises at least 0.2% from Q2; otherwise No. Ignore revisions.
Information source
Destatis Q2 2026 first GDP release and October 2026 weekly release preview
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the first Q3 real GDP estimate, adjusted for prices, seasons and calendar, rises at least 0.2% from Q2; otherwise No. Ignore revisions.