October U.S. jobs threshold — complete guide
Event Details
September initially added 29,000 jobs; the prior 12-month monthly average was 45,000. BLS schedules the October jobs report for November 6 at 21:30 Beijing time. Current probability 44%. Yes if the first seasonally adjusted October nonfarm payroll change is at least +50,000; otherwise No. Ignore revisions and household employment.
Information source
BLS September 2026 Employment Situation and 2026 release calendar
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 44%
- No 56%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the first seasonally adjusted October nonfarm payroll change is at least +50,000; otherwise No. Ignore revisions and household employment.